Bookie’s Advantage Gameweek 36

Another double gameweek provides the opportunity to make big gains as we hurtle toward the end of the season.
Surprisingly, no Brighton players make the Bookies Advantage starting XI this week but making sure you nail your three Newcastle picks could be key in shooting up the rankings.

The best captain options for gameweek 36 are analysed here

Goalscorer Odds Gameweek 36

PlayerTeamProbabilityProbability match 2Combined probability
Callum WilsonNEW45%42%68%
Alexander IsakNEW41%40%64%
Erling HaalandMCI64%64%
Mohamed SalahLIV53%53%
Marcus RashfordMUN51%51%
Ivan ToneyBRE47%47%
Darwin NunezLIV44%44%
Evan FergusonBHA25%25%44%
Aleksandar MitrovicFUL44%44%
Harry KaneTOT43%43%
Danny WelbeckBHA24%24%42%
Ollie WatkinsAVL41%41%
Joao FelixCHE41%41%
Wilfried ZahaCRY41%41%
Joe WillockNEW24%21%40%
Julian AlvarezMCI40%40%
Miguel AlmironNEW23%21%39%
Pierre-Emerick AubameyangCHE38%38%
Jean-Philippe MatetaCRY38%38%
Diego JotaLIV38%38%
Gabriel JesusARS37%37%
Kaoru MitomaBHA21%20%37%
Alexis Mac AllisterBHA20%21%37%
Eddie NketiahARS36%36%
Cody GakpoLIV36%36%
Kai HavertzCHE35%35%
Odsonne EdouardCRY35%35%
Wout WeghorstMUN35%35%
Bruno FernandesMUN35%35%
Bukayo SakaARS34%34%
Roberto FirminoLIV34%34%
Gabriel MartinelliARS33%33%
Allan Saint-MaximinNEW18%16%32%
Raheem SterlingCHE31%31%
Dominic SolankeBOU30%30%
Riyad MahrezMCI30%30%
Bruno GuimaraesNEW16%15%29%
Jamie VardyLEI29%29%
Anthony MartialMUN29%29%
Son Heung-MinTOT28%28%
Anthony GordonNEW15%14%27%
Phil FodenMCI27%27%
Leandro TrossardARS27%27%
Patrick BamfordLEE27%27%
Eberechi EzeCRY26%26%
Che AdamsSOU26%26%
Martin OdegaardARS26%26%
Yoane WissaBRE26%26%
Danny IngsWHU26%26%
Kieffer MooreBOU25%25%
Kevin De BruyneMCI25%25%
Leon BaileyAVL25%25%
Jadon SanchoMUN25%25%
Emiliano BuendiaAVL24%24%
Adam ArmstrongSOU24%24%
Christian PulisicCHE24%24%
James MaddisonLEI24%24%
Harvey BarnesLEI23%23%
Philippe CoutinhoAVL23%23%
Ilkay GundoganMCI23%23%
Pascal GrossBHA12%13%23%
Dominic Calvert-LewinEVE23%23%
Patson DakaLEI23%23%
Michail AntonioWHU23%23%
Bryan MbeumoBRE22%22%
Jarrod BowenWHU21%21%
Taiwo AwoniyiNFO20%20%
Said BenrahmaWHU19%19%
Mykhaylo MudrykCHE19%19%
Sam SurridgeNFO19%19%
Harry WilsonFUL18%18%
Christian EriksenMUN18%18%
Raul JimenezWOL17%17%
Bobby ReidFUL17%17%
Jack GrealishMCI17%17%
Lucas PaquetáWHU17%17%
Matheus CunhaWOL17%17%
Bernardo SilvaMCI17%17%
Brennan JohnsonNFO17%17%
Wilfred GnontoLEE16%16%
Hee-Chan HwangWOL16%16%
Daniel PodenceWOL15%15%
Neal MaupayEVE14%14%
Dejan KulusevskiTOT13%13%
Diego CostaWOL13%13%
Demarai GrayEVE13%13%
Granit XhakaARS11%11%
Virgil van DijkLIV10%10%
Trent Alexander-ArnoldLIV9%9%
Mathias JensenBRE8%8%
Brenden AaronsonLEE8%8%
Goalscorer Odds Gameweek 36

Don’t miss out on your €200 bonus

You know football! Capitalise on your knowledge.

Our betting partner Bethard currently offers up to €200 in first deposit bonus. Claim your offer here. 18+, T&Cs apply.


Callum Wilson (68%) narrowly beats Alexander Isak (64%) in terms of goal scoring odds this gameweek, however due to the expected minutes of both players, it’s Alexander Isak that gets the nod for us.
The Swede has ten goals and one assist in 13 starts in the Premier League and is expected to start both games in the double while Wilson, albeit in red hot form, is expected to start only once.
Isak will be hoping to add to his tally when he takes on a lacklustre Leeds United limping ever closer towards the abyss, as well as a jaded Brighton side who look to be struggling with the demands of playing twice a week.
Both he and Wilson are great options, but the minutes concern just shades it for us. Alexander Isak takes our captain’s armband for Gameweek 36.

Erling Haaland (64%) has to settle for vice-captaincy this gameweek as he travels away to Everton, no doubt buoyed by their fantastic 5-1 win away at Brighton in Gameweek 35.
Nothing more can really be said about the City striker who was desperately unlucky not to score against Leeds last week where he missed three big chances, hit the woodwork and even passed up a penalty!
He’ll be eager to put that right this weekend and with the title still not quite wrapped up, Guardiola is expected to put out a strong lineup.

Mohammed Salah (53%) has been on an incredible run of home form, but his away form isn’t bad either. Three goals in his last four away games should give owners encouragement going into this gameweek as Liverpool continue to hunt down Manchester United for fourth spot.
This week they travel to Leicester who just conceded five to “on the beach” Fulham. In fact, the Foxes have conceded 12 goals in the five games since Dean Smith took over (17th).

Marcus Rashford (51%) has blanked in his last two games but he (and Manchester United) are a different beast at Old Trafford. Rashford has five returns in his last five games at home (three goals, two assists) and will be confident of adding to that this gameweek when he welcomes Wolves who have kept just one clean sheet away all season, coming against Bournemouth in Gameweek 5.

Ivan Toney (47%) somewhat surprisingly makes the starting XI despite only having a single gameweek. The Bees forward has scored every second game for 14 weeks in a row now and since he blanked last weekend, it only stands to reason he’s a guaranteed goal scorer when he welcomes West Ham to the Gtech Community stadium this gameweek.

Wilfried Zaha (41%) is another surprise inclusion on this list, but has looked lively since returning from injury in Gameweek 34 and this week takes on Bournemouth, now with safety all but secured, perhaps their level may just drop off and provide the opposition with more opportunities to score.

Our bench this week consists of Kaoru Mitoma & Alexis MacAllister (both 37%) as Brighton have struggled in an attacking sense in recent weeks and they have two tough fixtures in Arsenal and Newcastle both away from home.

Clean sheet odds gameweek 36

TeamCS ProbabilityCS Probability game 2Combined probability
Man City52%52%
Man Utd50%50%
Crystal Palace40%40%
Aston Villa31%31%
West Ham25%25%
Nottingham Forest17%17%
Clean sheet odds gameweek 36

Newcastle United (59%) top the charts for clean sheet odds going into Gameweek 36 where they have a double of Leeds United (away) before playing Brighton (home).
The Magpies have been desperately unlucky to keep just one clean sheet in their last seven home matches conceding just one goal in four of those games.
Meanwhile, Leeds look rudderless and abject in attack, even at home. They have just six goals from open play in their last six home games.
Their other opponent Brighton look tired and will be even more so by the time they make it up to St. James park on Thursday night.
Kieran Trippier and Fabian Schar look the best choices for a double up here, they have by far the most expected goal involvement (xGI) amongst Newcastle defenders.

Manchester City (52%) are another side frustrating managers where clean sheets are concerned, having kept just one in their last seven. The underlying data is still good however, and the Bookies give them a good chance of a shut out at Everton in Gameweek 36.
Despite scoring five away from home in Gameweek 35, Everton sit 18th for expected goals (xG) from open play over their last six home games. Given the stakes for both sides, a cagey game is likely with Man City dominating possession.
John Stones looks a good pick here. Playing slightly more advanced of late, he often pops up on the edge of the box and it’s not beyond him to play a killer pass or even have a pop at goal himself.

Manchester United (50%) have also been somewhat unlucky not to come away with two clean sheets from their last two games, conceding a 99th minute penalty against Brighton, before a howler from De Gea away at West Ham made it two 0-1 losses in a row.
Ten Hag’s men sit first for goals conceded at home in their last six matches (2), as well as second for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the same time period (5.66)
Wolves on the other hand have been really poor away from home, sitting 20th for goals scored in their last six away (4), as well as 19th for xG (4.95).

Chelsea (50%) are another surprise inclusion in the Bookies Advantage starting XI this week as they welcome Nottingham Forest to Stamford Bridge having not kept a clean sheet since they hosted Liverpool in Gameweek 29.
The underlying data does suggest a Chelsea clean sheet here. Since Gameweek 29, the Blues are fifth in the league for xGC (7.53), while Forest are rock bottom for open play xG over the same period (2.34).
Kepa Arrizabalaga is always capable of making a few saves to make a ten point haul. He gets the nod for us between the sticks this week.

Our bench this week consists of Daniel Iversen (£3.8m), as well as Marc Guehi with a reasonable chance of a clean sheet (40%) at home to Bournemouth.

Don’t miss out on your €200 bonus

You know football! Capitalise on your knowledge.

Our betting partner Bethard currently offers up to €200 in first deposit bonus. Claim your offer here. 18+, T&Cs apply.


Get £30 in free bets

Odds from William Hill. They currently offer up to £30 in first deposit bonus. Claim your offer here. 18+, T&Cs apply.

Odhrán Brennan is a data journalist for a sports data company, living in Finland. He’s been playing FPL since the 06/07 season and is a long-suffering fan of both Arsenal and the Republic of Ireland national team. You can follow him on Twitter here